Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics

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Multi-factor high-order intuitionistic fuzzy time series forecasting model

Ya’nan Wang1,*, Yingjie Lei1, Yang Lei2, Xiaoshi Fan1   

  1. 1. Air and Missile Defense College, Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an 710051, China
    2. Department of Electronics Technology, Engineering University of Armed Police Force, Xi’an 710051, China
  • Online:2016-10-25 Published:2010-01-03

Abstract:

Fuzzy sets theory cannot describe the neutrality degree of data, which has largely limited the objectivity of fuzzy time series in uncertain data forecasting. With this regard, a multi-factor highorder intuitionistic fuzzy time series forecasting model is built. In the new model, a fuzzy clustering algorithm is used to get unequal intervals, and a more objective technique for ascertaining membership and non-membership functions of the intuitionistic fuzzy set is proposed. On these bases, forecast rules based on multidimensional intuitionistic fuzzy modus ponens inference are established. Finally, contrast experiments on the daily mean temperature of Beijing are carried out, which show that the novel model has a clear advantage of improving the forecast accuracy.