Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics ›› 2024, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (6): 1469-1481.doi: 10.23919/JSEE.2024.000047

• SYSTEMS ENGINEERING • Previous Articles    

Weapon system selection based on trust network and probabilistic hesitant fuzzy entropy

Qingyang JIA(), Yajie DOU(), Nan XIANG(), Yufeng MA(), Kewei YANG()   

  • Received:2022-05-24 Online:2024-12-18 Published:2025-01-14
  • Contact: Yajie DOU E-mail:cassie_qing@163.com;yajiedou_nudt@163.com;xiangnan1827@163.com;mashuang9707@163.com;kayyang27@nudt.edu.cn
  • About author:
    JIA Qingyang was born in 1998. She received her B.M. degree in financial engineering from Hunan University, Changsha, China, in 2020. She is currently pursuing her Ph.D. degree in National University of Defense Technology. Her research interests are weapon alternative decision and portfolio decision analysis. E-mail: cassie_qing@163.com

    DOU Yajie was born in 1987. He received his Ph.D. degree from National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China, in 2016. He is an associate professor in National University of Defense Technology. His research interests are weapon alternative decision and effectiveness evaluation, system-of-systems architecting and engineering management, portfolio decision analysis. E-mail: yajiedou_nudt@163.com

    XIANG Nan was born in 1995. She received her master degree from National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China, in 2020. She is a Ph.D. student in National University of Defence Technology. Her research interests are system optimization and comprehensive integration technology. E-mail: xiangnan1827@163.com

    MA Yufeng was born in 1997. She received her B.E. degree from Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, China, in 2020. She is currently pursuing her Ph.D. degree in National University of Defense Technology. Her research interests are intelligent manufacturing, requirements engineering, and knowledge graph. E-mail: mashuang9707@163.com

    YANG Kewei was born in 1977. He received his B.E. degree in systems engineering and Ph.D. degree in management science and engineering from National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China, in 1999 and 2004, respectively. He is currently a professor and the director of the Department of Management Science and Engineering, College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology. His current research interests include intelligent agent simulation, defense acquisition, and system-of-systems requirement modeling. E-mail: kayyang27@nudt.edu.cn
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71901214).

Abstract:

In order to solve the problem of uncertainty and fuzzy information in the process of weapon equipment system selection, a multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) method based on probabilistic hesitant fuzzy set (PHFS) is proposed. Firstly, we introduce the concept of probability and fuzzy entropy to measure the ambiguity, hesitation and uncertainty of probabilistic hesitant fuzzy elements (PHFEs). Sequentially, the expert trust network is constructed, and the importance of each expert in the network can be obtained by calculating the cumulative trust value under multiple trust propagation paths, so as to obtain the expert weight vector. Finally, we put forward an MADM method combining the probabilistic hesitant fuzzy entropy and grey relation analysis (GRA) model, and an illustrative case is employed to prove the feasibility and effectiveness of the method when solving the weapon system selection decision-making problem.

Key words: weapon system selection, multi-attribute decision making (MADM), probabilistic hesitant fuzzy set (PHFS), trust network