A simulation-based emergency force planning method for social security events

doi:10.23919/JSEE.2023.000038

Abstract

Abstract:

The occurrence of social security events is uncertain, and the distribution characteristics are highly complex due to a variety of external factors, posing challenges to their rapid and effective handling. The scientific and reasonable requirement evaluation of the emergency force to deal with social security events is very urgent. Based on data analysis, this paper uses the neural network, operational research, modelling and simulation to predict and analyze social security events, studies the usage rule of emergency force and deployment algorithm, and conducts simulation experiments to evaluate and compare the different force deployment schemes for selection.

Key words: social security, emergency force, simulation, force deployment

Xuesheng YANG, Yingli WANG, Yong GUAN. A simulation-based emergency force planning method for social security events[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2023, 34(1): 141-148.

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Event type	Sub-type	Persons involved	Level
Mass event	General mass event	Less than 100	Small
		101−1000	Medium
		1001−10000	Large
		Over 10000	Extra-large
	Mass gathering to block traffic	Less than 100	Small
		101−1000	Medium
		1001−8000	Large
		Over 8000	Extra-large
	Gang violence	Less than 100	Small
		101−1000	Medium
		1001−6000	Large
		Over 6000	Extra-large
	Riot	Less than 100	Small
		101−1000	Medium
		1001−5000	Large
		Over 5000	Extra-large
Terrorist event	$\vdots $	$\vdots $	$\vdots $

Time	Location	Event type	Event level	Duration/day	Force level	Force quantity
10/5/2018	City A	General mass event	Small	1	Local	20
12/23/2017	City B	General mass event	Medium	1	City-level	200
7/17/2014	City C	Mass gathering to block traffic	Small	1	Local	20
10/9/2009	City D	Gang violence	Medium	1	City-level	500

Event type	Sub-type	Level	Force usage/day	Force level
Mass event	General mass event	Small	100	Local
		Medium	1000	City-level
		Large	10000	Regional
		Extra-large	20000	Global
	Mass gathering to block traffic	Small	150	Local
		Medium	1500	City-level
		Large	10000	Regional
		Extra-large	12000	Global
	Gang violence	Small	200	Local
		Medium	2000	City-level
		Large	10000	Regional
		Extra-large	12000	Global
	Riot	Small	300	Local
		Medium	3000	City-level
		Large	12000	Regional
		Extra-large	15000	Global
Terrorist event	$\vdots $	$\vdots $	$\vdots $	$\vdots $

Force level	Arrival time/h
Local	1
City-level	2
Regional	4
Global	5

Result	Scheme 1	Scheme 2
Total distance time consumption/h	10000	19000
Total force	50000	45000
Total local force	20000	15000
Total city-level force	10000	10000
Total regional force	10000	10000
Average distance time consumption for small-scale events/h	0.7	0.8
Average distance time consumption for medium-scale events/h	1.8	1.6
Average distance time consumption for large-scale events/h	2.9	3.1
Average distance time consumption for extra-large-scale events/h	3.6	3.7